Incerto Books in Order
Explore Nassim Taleb's Incerto books in order, with summaries of his works on uncertainty, risk and responsibility to help you choose where to start.
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This series has 3 recommenders.
Incerto books in publication order
5 books
Fooled by Randomness
by Nassim Taleb
2001
Nassim Nicholas Taleb examines how people mistake luck for skill and build explanations around accidental outcomes. Drawing on financial markets, probability, and human behaviour, he explores the biases that make uncertainty difficult to recognize in everyday judgments.
Recommended by
7 people
Howard Marks recommended this bookHoward Marks
"Really about how much randomness there is in our world." - Howard Marks
Howard Marks's recommendation of this book 
Nick Kokonas recommended this bookNick Kokonas
"Almost everyone in my office is forced to read [this book]." - Nick Kokonas
Nick Kokonas's recommendation of this book 
Ev Williams recommended this bookEv Williams
On the "books read" section of Ev Williams' GoodReads profile.
Ev Williams's recommendation of this book 
James Altucher recommended this bookJames Altucher
James Altucher mentioned this book on "The Tim Ferriss Show" podcast.
James Altucher's recommendation of this book 
Art De Vany recommended this bookArt De Vany
"I used [this book] is a class I taught on the economics of uncertainty." - Art De Vany
Art De Vany's recommendation of this book 
Ryan Shea recommended this bookRyan Shea
Ryan Shea recommended this book on Twitter.
Ryan Shea's recommendation of this book +1
More recommendations
- James Clear
"[One of] the 10 books with the most page-for-page wisdom." - James Clear
- James Clear
The Black Swan
by Nassim Taleb
2007
Taleb examines rare, unexpected events that have enormous consequences and are explained too confidently afterward. He challenges conventional assumptions about prediction and knowledge, exploring why people overlook uncertainty and underestimate the influence of the highly improbable.
Recommended by
9 people
Jeff Bezos recommended this bookJeff Bezos
Part of "Jeff's Reading List."
Jeff Bezos's recommendation of this book 
Bill Gates recommended this bookBill Gates
List of books Bill Gates read in 2012.
Bill Gates's recommendation of this book 
Edward Norton recommended this bookEdward Norton
"I really like [this book]." - Edward Norton
Edward Norton's recommendation of this book - Nick Kokonas recommended this book
Nick Kokonas
"Great; it’s fine." - Nick Kokonas
Nick Kokonas's recommendation of this book - James Altucher recommended this book
James Altucher
James Altucher mentioned this book on "The Tim Ferriss Show" podcast.
James Altucher's recommendation of this book - Art De Vany recommended this book
Art De Vany
"Marvelous." - Art De Vany
Art De Vany's recommendation of this book +3
More recommendations
- Ev Williams
On the "books read" section of Ev Williams' GoodReads profile.
- Ryan Shea
Ryan Shea recommended this book on Twitter.
- Pavel Durov
"I would recommend reading [this book]." - Pavel Durov
- Ev Williams
The Bed of Procrustes
by Nassim Taleb
2010
This collection of aphorisms and meditations challenges the habit of forcing reality into convenient intellectual models. Drawing its title from a Greek myth, Taleb examines self-deception, technology, knowledge, and the tension between human experience and imposed categories.
Recommended by
1 person- Ryan Shea recommended this book
Ryan Shea
Ryan Shea recommended this book on Twitter.
Ryan Shea's recommendation of this book
Antifragile
by Nassim Taleb
2012
Taleb develops the idea of antifragility: systems that improve through volatility, stress, and disorder. Moving across economic and social examples, he argues for approaches that benefit from uncertainty rather than relying on prediction or merely resisting disruption.
Recommended by
9 people- Ev Williams recommended this book
Ev Williams
"Few books have made me think more than this one over the last decade." - Ev Williams
Ev Williams's recommendation of this book - James Altucher recommended this book
James Altucher
"A very good book." - James Altucher
James Altucher's recommendation of this book 
Vlad Tenev recommended this bookVlad Tenev
"The general concept is applicable to many fields beyond biology, for instance finance, economics and monetary policy." - Vlad Tenev
Vlad Tenev's recommendation of this book 
Tobi Lütke recommended this bookTobi Lütke
"It's so wonderful when books create the language that you need to better reason about the world. [This book] did that as well." - Tobi Lütke
Tobi Lütke's recommendation of this book 
Changpeng Zhao recommended this bookChangpeng Zhao
"We definitely want Binance to be antifragile. This book may explain why we make some of the decisions we make." - Changpeng Zhao
Changpeng Zhao's recommendation of this book 
Patrick O'Shaughnessy recommended this bookPatrick O'Shaughnessy
"This book will have you asking yourself many provocative and useful questions." - Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Patrick O'Shaughnessy's recommendation of this book +3
More recommendations
- Shane Parrish
"Changed how I see the world." - Shane Parrish
- Tom Bilyeu
Tom Bilyeu recommended this book on his website.
- Vinod Khosla
"I recommend everybody read [this book] if they're setting off on a career as a personal philosophy." - Vinod Khosla
- Shane Parrish
Skin in the Game
by Nassim Taleb
2018
Taleb argues that people making decisions should share in their consequences, particularly when they impose risks on others. Examples from history, politics, finance, and daily life explore responsibility, unequal incentives, and the ethical importance of personal exposure.
Recommended by
8 people
Marc Andreessen recommended this bookMarc Andreessen
"Skin in the game as conflict of interest, or as attaching one's livelihood to one's speech? Who to listen to, and why." - Marc Andreessen
Marc Andreessen's recommendation of this book 
Ben Horowitz recommended this bookBen Horowitz
"A book about the dynamics of how large-scale, highly random systems behave." - Ben Horowitz
Ben Horowitz's recommendation of this book 
Peter Mallouk recommended this bookPeter Mallouk
Peter Mallouk mentioned this book on Twitter.
Peter Mallouk's recommendation of this book 
Keith Rabois recommended this bookKeith Rabois
"Quite powerful, albeit often redundant." - Keith Rabois
Keith Rabois's recommendation of this book 
Vinod Khosla recommended this bookVinod Khosla
"I like his ideas a lot, especially in Antifragile and the first half of this book. I've always complained about pundits relative to doers." - Vinod Khosla
Vinod Khosla's recommendation of this book - Changpeng Zhao recommended this book
Changpeng Zhao
"I see this book as a complement to 'Economics in One Lesson.' And it's an excellent read on its own." - Changpeng Zhao
Changpeng Zhao's recommendation of this book +2
More recommendations
- Chris Dixon
"This was up there with Black Swan and [the author's] other classics." - Chris Dixon
- Ryan Shea
Ryan Shea recommended this book on Twitter.
- Chris Dixon
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